|
Mapping Mad Cow Disease
Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE or Mad Cow Disease) is a
neurodegenerative disease which gradually destroys cattle brains
by turning them spongy. It was first officially documented in 1986
with approximately 180,000 cows dying from it in Britain and millions
more slaughtered to eradicate it from suspect herds.
Early theories suspected the disease originated from a single cow
which developed the disease spontaneously through a unique, random
mutation of a protein in the brain and nerve cells. When other cattle
ate the ground-up remains of this cow they also developed the disease.
The disease spread as more and more cows ate the infected feed.
Alternatively the disease was thought to have come from the sheep
equivalent of BSE and spread the through the cows feed.
Another theory is that the epidemic was started by a single diseased
African antelope which was imported into the country by a safari
park. When it died the antelope was converted to feed for cattle
and the process of infection began.
Mapping the spread of BSE in the United Kingdom:
Scientists at Massey University in New Zealand have mapped the
spread of BSE by plotting the number of BSE cases per 100 cattle
per square kilometre. This makes it easier to identify areas of
disease excess.
 
The scientists used agricultural census data at the farm level
to map cases of BSE against farm type (beef or dairy) and the total
number of cattle on each farm.
Snapshots in time of the extent of the disease on each of the farms
shows how the epidemic developed. As time progressed a trend showed
the disease density higher in the southwest region of England and
in the southwest of Wales.
Spatial modeling techniques were used to test the various theories
of how the disease spread and the theory of a single origin in the
southwest of England in 1971 fits the spread of the disease both
spatially and temporally.
Back then antelope were introduced into Britain to populate safari
parks which had opened. Most of those parks were in the southwest
of England. Many species of antelope are susceptible to a similar
disease and substantial numbers died of the disease in wildlife
parks.
For more information on BSE try the New
Scientist Web Site.
This article was reproduced from an article in GIS User, February 2002, on research conducted by Professor Roger Morris and Mark Stevenson of the Institute of Veterinary, Animal and Biomedical Sciences at Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand. |